Nineteen Sixty-four is a research blog for the Center for Applied Research in the Apostolate (CARA) at Georgetown University edited by Mark M. Gray. CARA is a non-profit research center that conducts social scientific studies about the Catholic Church. Founded in 1964, CARA has three major dimensions to its mission: to increase the Catholic Church's self understanding; to serve the applied research needs of Church decision-makers; and to advance scholarly research on religion, particularly Catholicism. Follow CARA on Twitter at: caracatholic.

7.10.2019

For Its Size, The Church in Myanmar is Producing More Priests than Anywhere Else



Every three years CARA calculates diocesan ordination rates in the United States, which are published in The CARA Report. This post looks globally at national ordination rates for diocesan priests. This is done with the most recent available ordination data for 2015, 2016, and 2017 and Catholic population data for 2017 from the Vatican’s Annuarium Statisticum Ecclesiae. The table below lists countries in rank order by number of Catholics to ordinand ratios. While we analyzed data for every available country the table only includes those that satisfy the following qualifications: 1) has a population of at least 100,000 Catholics, and 2a) a total of at least nine ordinations in the three years examined or 2b) has at least one ordination in each of the three years.

Brazil is one of the countries with more than 1,000 ordinations in the most recent three years for which data is available. India also ordained more than 1,000 men. The difference between the two countries is that there are 22 million Catholics in India compared to 175 million in Brazil. Thus, India had 14,433 Catholics per diocesan ordinand compared to 137,846 Catholics per ordinand in Brazil. India is producing more priests (1,523 from 2015-17 compared to 1,269 in Brazil during the same period) with a smaller Catholic population.

The countries creating the most new priests relative to the size of their Catholic population include: Myanmar (8,193 Catholics per ordinand), Thailand (10,514 per ordinand), Togo (12,381 per ordinand), Vietnam (12,843 per ordinand), and Bangladesh (12,967 per ordinand). This includes four Asian countries and one African country.

The United States comes in just above the middle of the pack with 52,869 Catholics per ordinand. Just ahead of the U.S. is Great Britain, where many more new priests per Catholic are ordained than in neighboring Ireland (52,867 Catholics per ordinand compared to 117,404 in Ireland).



Ordinations


Rank
Country
2015
2016
2017
Total
Catholics per Ordinand
Catholics
1
Myanmar
21
29
33
83
8,193
680,000
2
Thailand
15
9
13
37
10,514
389,000
3
Togo
61
53
54
168
12,381
2,080,000
4
Vietnam
163
183
189
535
12,843
6,871,000
5
Bangladesh
8
7
15
30
12,967
389,000
6
Mali
12
6
5
23
13,130
302,000
7
Eritrea
4
4
8
16
13,625
218,000
8
India
490
531
502
1,523
14,433
21,981,000
9
Romania
35
30
32
97
14,897
1,445,000
10
South Korea
118
102
145
365
15,704
5,732,000
11
Sri Lanka
40
27
27
94
16,936
1,592,000
12
Ukraine
81
113
91
285
17,330
4,939,000
13
Guinea
1
4
11
16
17,625
282,000
14
Israel
4
6
7
17
17,765
302,000
15
Ghana
61
62
82
205
18,317
3,755,000
16
Senegal
23
4
14
41
19,268
790,000
17
Egypt
6
4
4
14
19,286
270,000
18
Japan
11
7
9
27
19,852
536,000
19
Botswana
1
2
2
5
22,800
114,000
20
Cameroon
86
116
88
290
22,976
6,663,000
21
Equatorial Guinea
6
24
9
39
23,282
908,000
22
Malta
3
9
5
17
24,353
414,000
23
Syrian Arab Republic
2
3
4
9
24,444
220,000
24
Taiwan
5
3
1
9
24,778
223,000
25
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7
7
2
16
25,125
402,000
26
Burkina Faso
40
30
46
116
25,405
2,947,000
27
Benin
40
53
36
129
28,450
3,670,000
28
Nigeria
319
342
347
1,008
28,646
28,875,000
29
Sweden
1
2
1
4
30,000
120,000
30
Sierra Leone
1
6
3
10
31,300
313,000
31
Slovakia
36
43
45
124
32,331
4,009,000
32
Solomon Islands
1
2
1
4
32,750
131,000
33
Ethiopia
12
12
3
27
33,556
906,000
34
Rwanda
37
59
60
156
35,449
5,530,000
35
Zimbabwe
16
19
18
53
36,811
1,951,000
36
Indonesia
64
61
96
221
37,068
8,192,000
37
Poland
327
339
327
993
37,325
37,064,000
38
New Zealand
10
2
4
16
37,438
599,000
39
Lebanon
24
19
14
57
37,579
2,142,000
40
Chad
10
18
4
32
39,594
1,267,000
41
Croatia
40
23
26
89
41,000
3,649,000
42
Gabon
10
5
7
22
44,000
968,000
43
Iraq
1
9
3
13
45,308
589,000
44
Albania
6
2
3
11
46,000
506,000
45
Congo
14
16
25
55
47,691
2,623,000
46
Burundi
41
37
60
138
49,065
6,771,000
47
Pakistan
3
14
11
28
49,393
1,383,000
48
Czech Republic
28
25
13
66
50,182
3,312,000
49
Great Britain
37
32
36
105
52,867
5,551,000
50
United States
503
447
436
1,386
52,869
73,277,000
51
Madagascar
32
56
58
146
56,390
8,233,000
52
Italy
342
336
308
986
58,738
57,916,000
53
Papua New Guinea
11
19
10
40
60,650
2,426,000
54
Serbia
2
2
2
6
66,667
400,000
55
Uganda
79
112
82
273
67,220
18,351,000
56
Australia
46
27
24
97
69,268
6,719,000
57
Zambia
19
31
28
78
70,910
5,531,000
58
Belarus
6
6
7
19
76,789
1,459,000
59
Slovenia
8
10
2
20
76,950
1,539,000
60
El Salvador
30
23
14
67
78,463
5,257,000
61
Haiti
31
35
34
100
80,380
8,038,000
62
Central African Republic
7
5
11
23
80,826
1,859,000
63
Kenya
76
56
54
186
80,952
15,057,000
64
Malaysia
9
3
3
15
81,133
1,217,000
65
Latvia
1
3
1
5
82,400
412,000
66
Hungary
21
25
22
68
88,074
5,989,000
67
Colombia
157
180
180
517
89,238
46,136,000
68
Tanzania
55
66
57
178
89,792
15,983,000
69
South Africa
10
13
19
42
92,643
3,891,000
70
East Timor
1
8
3
12
101,500
1,218,000
71
Portugal
25
34
30
89
102,697
9,140,000
72
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
167
140
124
431
104,942
45,230,000
73
Spain
158
130
110
398
109,060
43,406,000
74
Paraguay
13
28
19
60
109,900
6,594,000
75
Germany
60
79
74
213
112,437
23,949,000
76
Costa Rica
7
13
15
35
112,886
3,951,000
77
Peru
103
81
60
244
116,861
28,514,000
78
Ireland
19
16
12
47
117,404
5,518,000
79
Hong Kong
1
2
2
5
120,200
601,000
80
Mexico
314
309
312
935
121,089
113,218,000
81
Honduras
28
17
14
59
122,949
7,254,000
82
Malawi
16
18
13
47
124,149
5,835,000
83
Canada
44
32
44
120
135,067
16,208,000
84
Ivory Coast
69
58
54
181
135,751
24,571,000
85
Brazil
471
348
450
1,269
137,846
174,926,000
86
Nicaragua
13
23
3
39
146,026
5,695,000
87
Angola
34
31
43
108
151,852
16,400,000
88
Switzerland
5
9
7
21
163,619
3,436,000
89
Austria
11
11
9
31
165,194
5,121,000
90
Uruguay
6
2
8
16
168,063
2,689,000
91
Bolivia
15
27
14
56
172,232
9,645,000
92
Venezuela
67
42
49
158
174,677
27,599,000
93
Dominican Republic
24
14
16
54
178,370
9,632,000
94
Mozambique
14
16
12
42
181,452
7,621,000
95
Philippines
147
170
146
463
186,566
86,380,000
96
Puerto Rico
9
1
5
15
188,400
2,826,000
97
Ecuador
21
36
20
77
189,545
14,595,000
98
Argentina
86
66
62
214
194,266
41,573,000
99
France
69
88
83
240
202,671
48,641,000
100
Guatemala
20
20
20
60
225,883
13,553,000
101
Netherlands
7
8
6
21
226,190
4,750,000
102
Panama
7
5
4
16
226,813
3,629,000
103
Lithuania
3
5
3
11
232,727
2,560,000
104
South Sudan
8
8
7
23
270,217
6,215,000
105
Cuba
8
5
11
24
283,125
6,795,000
106
Sudan
2
1
1
4
298,250
1,193,000
107
Chile
19
6
11
36
377,833
13,602,000
108
Belgium
10
3
6
19
431,158
8,192,000


In addition to the countries listed above, there are a number of other countries of note with fewer than 100,000 Catholics that have at least nine ordinations in the three years examined or at least one ordination per year. In fact, remove the minimum 100,000 Catholics requirement and Nepal shoots to the top of the list with 2,667 Catholics per ordinand (3 ordinations; one each year with a total Catholic population of 8,000). Other countries that would appear if the Catholic population restriction is removed while the other requirements are maintained include: Samoa (3,444 Catholics per ordinand), Niger (3,833 per ordinand), Liechtenstein (5,600 per ordinand), Denmark (7,833 per ordinand), Kosovo (11,000 per odinand), Kiribati (16,750 per ordinand), and Fiji (21,333 per ordinand). However, these ratios are, in part, a function of having very small Catholic populations. At the same time it is still remarkable that Catholics in these nations are consistently choosing to become diocesan priests.

Last we looked in 2017, the top U.S. dioceses for Catholics per ordinand were Nashville (4,678 Catholics per ordinand), Crookston (5,348 per ordinand), Covington (6,455 per ordinand), Lincoln (6,506 per ordinand), and Knoxville (6,912 per ordinand). Check out The CARA Report in the near future for updated diocesan rankings. 

Image courtesy of Billy Lopue.

Note: The Vatican includes Ireland and Northern Ireland as Ireland and Great Britain includes England, Wales, and Scotland.

3.07.2019

What Should You Eat On Friday?


(Image not intended as an answer to the question above. Not an endorsement!)

CARA’s national surveys indicate that more than six in ten self-identified adult Catholics in the United States will abstain from eating meat on Fridays during Lent. Unlike many of the other trends we track, this is not a practice in decline and is just as likely to be done by young adult Catholics as their elders. It also fits well in the social media age where people can have fun posting images of their non-meat foods. If you run a food establishment that is open for business on Fridays during Lent you are also likely financially concerned about the impact of 31,995,000 Catholic consumers (extrapolating from the survey data) looking for something to eat made of something other than meat.

Last Lent I gave up meat for the whole season. I am sure I just wasn’t doing vegetarianism “correctly” but I have to say it was the least healthy I have ever felt. When Lent ended, I went on a high protein diet (lots of meat) and now feel much less likely to die any time soon. Therefore, this Lent I had to think about what in the heck am I am going to eat on the days where I have to abstain from meat again (all Catholics, ages 14 or older, are called to abstain on Ash Wednesday and Fridays during Lent).

This question called for some statistical analysis. The most challenging meal for many working age Catholics might be lunch. You aren’t at home and there likely aren’t any parish fish dinners available at this time. This often means one might buy a quick meal from a restaurant. I dug into the 2019 non-meat offerings at national fast and fast-casual chains and our findings might surprise some. I assume that a Catholic diner is looking to skip the meat but get as much protein (and fiber) as they can as a nutritional goal. I also assume they look to keep calorie and carbohydrate counts reasonable and minimize fat (...well maybe not keto Catholics), sodium, and sugar. Unfortunately taste is too subjective to be considered.

Although it varies by activity level, the average American needs around 2,000 calories per day and should try not to exceed 65 grams of fat and 2,300 milligrams of sodium. A healthier intake of sugar would be about 35 grams per day. To keep the comparisons fair, one Lent-friendly meal per establishment is evaluated and the base meal is a fish sandwich and medium fries (drink excluded). Some of the restaurants offer neither so the closest equivalent is considered in these cases. How do the menus this Lent stack up within these guidelines? I ranked them all on each nutritional outcome and the figure below shows the average rank (i.e., a lower rank indicates a better outcome given my assumptions) for each meal and establishment.


For me, someone looking to eat somewhat healthy and get as much protein as possible, Panera Bread’s tuna sandwich on focaccia with potato chips might be ideal. It is ranked overall as the 5th “healthiest” option this year (quotations are used because I am a doctor but not that kind of doctor…) providing 800 calories, 43 grams of fat (66% of daily limit), 75 grams of carbohydrates, 30 grams of protein, 1,520 milligrams of sodium (63% of daily limit), 5 grams of fiber, and 6 grams of sugar.

The “healthiest” option overall, given my assumptions, would be a Subway’s 6-inch tuna sandwich on Italian bread with potato chips. It is only 610 calories (no cheese but your choice of any vegetables allowed), but it has significantly less protein than Panera at 21 grams. On the positive side, Subway also offers less fat (35 grams), fewer carbs (53 grams), and lower sodium (780 milligrams).

The next “best” option to Subway may surprise—it’s the original fast food Lent offering. McDonald’s Filet-O-Fish with medium fries is surprisingly lighter than many other options. This meal comes in at only 610 calories with 35 grams of fat, 82 grams of carbohydrates, 21 grams of protein, 780 milligrams of sodium, 6 grams of fiber, and 5 grams of sugar.  Outside of elevated fats these nutritional targets measure close to 1/3 of what one would expect in a day’s eating. This was a meal specifically designed for the Catholic consumer in 1960s Cincinnati. Nutritionally, it is still not a bad option.

Which meal meets or exceeds some generally recognized daily nutritional goals? It’s one where there was not an equivalent to the fish sandwich and fries and this may have made it a less than fair comparison. If you wanted Chipotle you might order a sofritas burrito bowl (also including beans, rice, fajitas, cheese, salsa, lettuce, and sour cream) with a side of chips and guacamole. This amounts to 1,530 calories with 79.5 grams of fat, 165 grams of carbohydrates, 38 grams of protein (best of any meal evaluated), 2,800 milligrams of sodium (exceeding daily total maximum), 27 grams of fiber (best of any meal evaluated), and 14 grams of sugar. So if you are looking for maximum protein and fiber this is the choice but it comes with some other less desirable outcomes. This could also be a better option by cutting out the chips and guacamole and keeping the cheese and sour cream out of the burrito bowl. This option would only provide 545 calories, 15.5 grams of fat, 21 grams of protein, 81 grams of carbohydrates, 1,770 milligrams of sodium, 14 grams of fiber, and 9 grams of sugar. But would this be a meal that is really an equivalent to a fish sandwich and fries? It’s probably a bit too far on the lighter side.

While KFC does not appear to have a meat-free Lent option (unless you are lucky enough to be in Guam), Chick-fil-A does. A fish sandwich joins the lineup (at participating locations) for Lent. While the sandwich does not have complete nutritional information from the company, it appears to be similar, based on other sources, to McDonald’s once one factors in the side of fries. It comes in as the third “healthiest” relative to the recommended daily values. If you want a more calorie packed (and flavorful?) fish sandwich and fries you could try Wendy’s, Burger King, or Arby’s. These all exceed 850 calories, 100 carbohydrates, 40 grams of fat, and about 1,500 milligrams of sodium or more. Arby’s comes in with the highest numbers for the fish and fries meal for fat, carbs, sodium, and sugar (…this is the franchise with the tag line “We have the meats!” so it may not surprise that it is not likely the first option for a Friday during Lent).

Hardee’s and Carl’s Jr. have offered a beer battered fish sandwich in the past. However, as of Ash Wednesday, it was not an option that was active from their menu windows online. Instead, under their “Better for you options” they currently offer a Veg It Thickburger, which appears to be a toppings loaded burger without the meat. We utilized this for our analysis (with medium fries). The fish sandwich from previous years would have been less “healthy.” Taco Bell also requires some selective ordering. We went with the Cheesy Bean and Rice Burrito with Nacho Fries for the analysis. It offers the lowest protein option but ranks second highest in fiber.

As we have noted in the past, Catholics are a relatively healthy bunch in the United States. Hopefully, our review of 2019 offerings helps you make some menu decisions this year. A recent scientific study showed that knowing what you are consuming may be one of the easiest steps to maintaining your health. 

McDonald’s background image courtesy of michaelgoodin.

2.22.2019

Where the Parish Doors Have Closed … and Opened


One of the most common news stories about the Catholic Church in recent years involve parish closures. These events often gain local attention and time from time get coverage nationally. When the story is national, the closure(s) sometimes seems as if this is something generalizable. The national data (for territorial Latin rite dioceses) seem to fit this characterization with the Church now operating 1,437 fewer parishes than it had in 1971.

Note: Figure excludes parishes in Eastern rite eparchies

What often gets lost in these stories (and in the national numbers) is that closures are a much more regional and local phenomenon. CARA has often referred to a “Tale of Two Churches” (1, 2) where pastors in different parts of the country tend to be worried about different things (keeping the lights on vs. finding space for more pews and parking spaces).

The net loss of parishes has been most heavily concentrated in dioceses in a handful of states. Really two states lead the pack in reducing their numbers of parishes. Pennsylvania has reduced its number of parishes by 532 since 1971 and New York by 500 during the same period. Other states have experienced increases in parishes, offsetting some of these losses including Texas, which has added 293 parishes, Florida which has added 165 parishes, and Arizona and New Mexico (the Diocese of Gallup crosses state lines) which added 121. The states in blue on the following map (click the map to see a larger version) have fewer parishes now than they had in 1971 and those in green have more now than in 1971.

The pattern in parish losses and gains follows economic and social mobility changes in the country more generally. The Sunbelt in the South has attracted population growth while the Rustbelt in the Northeast and Midwest have seen population drains over the decades. The Catholic Church, diocese by diocese, has responded to these changes by closing parishes in areas with losses and opening them in the states where population gains have occurred. It is important to note that these population gains have also included new arrivals from outside the United States as well.

In some urban dioceses that attracted the first waves of Catholic immigration from Europe in the 19th and 20th centuries, churches were built to serve the needs of people from particular countries like Italy, Poland, Germany, and Ireland. In some cases, parish buildings were built in close proximity to each other in cities catering to the language and culture of the specific immigrant groups needing pastoral care and access to the sacraments. Now many years removed from this immigration and often with Catholics having left long ago for the suburbs or the Sunbelt, parish buildings are underutilized. This is part of the story of what happened with some of the parish closures in areas of New York, Pennsylvania, and Massachusetts. In some other areas, shortages of priests have led to reorganizations that involve parish closures and clergy being assigned to administer multiple parishes. However, there are limits to how many parishes a single priest can realistically administer geographically. Finances also play a role. Since 2000, the average Catholic family has given $10 a week to their parish. In some cases, the number of these active families present in parish communities are not sufficient in numbers to make the operation of a parish viable in the long-term. Closures here have also been made due to this lack of funding.

In many ways, it has been easier for the Church to close parishes than build new sites. While growth is evident throughout the South (outside of Louisiana) and West, the Catholic population of this region has increased much more quickly than new brick and mortar construction. Nowhere is this more evident than in Georgia where the Catholic population has increased from about 110,000 in 1971 to more than 1 million today (+858%). While the state has added 67 parishes during this period, the number of Catholics per parish has increased from 1,396 in 1971 to 7,235 in 2018.

States with fewer Catholics today than in 1971 include Pennsylvania (-17% fewer), Rhode Island (-17%), Michigan (-16%), Vermont (-16%), Massachusetts (-14%), Louisiana (-10%), Ohio (-9%), Connecticut (-9%), Illinois (-4%), North Dakota (-2%), and Wisconsin (-2%). Other than Georgia, states with significantly more Catholics now than in 1971 include North Carolina (+922% more; 73,600 to 752,500), Nevada (+635%), South Carolina (+582%), Utah (+370%), Florida (+298%), Tennessee (+285%), and Virginia (+265%).  
 
New York has experienced no real net growth nor loss in the total number of Catholics residing in the state. Thus, there is more to the story of parish closures in New York than simple population change. Here, the geographic distribution of this population and of the parishes (particularly in urban areas) is likely central. It is also important to note that even with the net loss of 500 parishes in New York, there remains 1,203 parishes open and the number of Catholics per parish has only increased modestly from 4,048 in 1971 to 5,743 today. By comparison, in Nevada, a state that has gained 20 parishes since 1971, the number of Catholics per parish today is 12,639.

Parish photo courtesy of Massachusetts Office Of Travel & Tourism.

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